Berdasarkan Prospektus ISF Group Berhad bertarikh 8 Januari 2026, berikut ialah Laporan Penuh Analisis Fundamental & Valuation seperti yang diminta.
(Analisis ini berpandukan data audited sehingga FPE 31 Julai 2025 dan maklumat IPO rasmi)
📊 IPO AUTOPSY – LAPORAN PENUH
ISF Group Berhad (ACE Market)
1️⃣ Auto Summary Table (Ringkasan Utama)
| Metrik Utama | Nilai |
|---|---|
| IPO Price | RM0.33 |
| Market Cap (post-IPO) | RM330 juta |
| Shares (enlarged) | 1.0 bilion |
| Revenue CAGR (FY22–FY24) | ≈ +48% |
| PAT CAGR (FY22–FY24) | ≈ +222% |
| PAT Margin (FPE 2025) | 25.5% |
| ROE (annualised est.) | ≈ 35–40% |
| Gearing Ratio (FPE 2025) | 0.22x |
| PER @ IPO (annualised FY25) | 12.7x |
| Fair Value (base case) | RM0.42 – RM0.48 |
| Growth Score (1–10) | 8 / 10 |
| Risk Score (1–10) | 4 / 10 |
| Overall Verdict | ATTRACTIVE IPO |
2️⃣ Gambaran Perniagaan & Model Bisnes
ISF Group Berhad ialah syarikat investment holding yang melalui subsidiari utamanya terlibat dalam:
- Supply & installation piping systems
- Water supply & sewer infrastructure
- Maintenance & repair services
Ciri utama model bisnes:
- Project-based (CAPEX rendah)
- Working capital ringan
- Fokus end-user premises (residential, commercial, infrastructure)
ISF ialah CIDB Grade 7 contractor – tiada had nilai projek, kelebihan kompetitif penting.
3️⃣ Analisis Kewangan (Trend & Kualiti)
📈 Revenue & Profitability
| Tahun | Revenue Trend | PAT (RM juta) | PAT Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2022 | Rendah | 0.93 | 4.3% |
| FY2023 | Naik ketara | 4.38 | 11.3% |
| FY2024 | Lonjakan | 9.64 | 17.6% |
| FPE 2025 | Sangat kukuh | 15.18 | 25.5% |
➡ Operating leverage jelas
➡ Margin meningkat konsisten = pricing power + efficiency
⚖️ Kewangan & Leverage
- Current Ratio: 1.53x
- Gearing: 0.22x (sangat selamat)
- Tiada isu kecairan
- Cash balance meningkat ketara
📌 Kesimpulan:
➡ Ini bukan growth “kosmetik”, tetapi earnings quality tinggi
4️⃣ Valuation Analysis
🔢 PER Method (Industry-adjusted)
| Senario | PER | Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 15x | RM0.39 |
| Base Case | 18x | RM0.47 |
| Optimistic | 20x | RM0.52 |
EPS FY25 (annualised): ≈ 2.60 sen
➡ IPO pada PER 12.7x = DISCOUNT berbanding ACE peers
5️⃣ Utilisation of Proceeds (IPO Funds)
Jumlah hasil IPO: RM61.1 juta
| Kegunaan | Penilaian |
|---|---|
| Working capital | ✔ Positif |
| Expansion capacity | ✔ Growth-driven |
| Listing expenses | Neutral |
| Repayment besar hutang | ❌ Tiada |
📌 Kualiti penggunaan dana: BAIK
➡ Tiada “red flag” (tiada promoter cash-out melalui proceeds)
6️⃣ SWOT Analysis
✅ Strengths
- Margin tinggi & meningkat
- CIDB Grade 7
- Track record kukuh
- Gearing rendah
⚠️ Weaknesses
- Project-based revenue
- Order book visibility jangka pendek
🚀 Opportunities
- Infrastructure spending Malaysia
- Water & sewer upgrades
- Urbanisation & property demand
❌ Threats
- Persaingan fragmentasi
- Risiko projek & subcontractor
- Kebergantungan kepada kontrak baru
7️⃣ Business Growth vs Risk Matrix
Kedudukan ISF:
- Growth: Tinggi (8/10)
- Risk: Rendah–Sederhana (4/10)
➡ Kuadran: High Growth – Low Risk
(Sangat jarang untuk IPO ACE)
8️⃣ Kesimpulan & Cadangan
📌 IPO Verdict: BELI / LANGGAN
Kenapa IPO ini menarik?
✔ Earnings growth sebenar
✔ Margin & ROE luar biasa
✔ Valuation IPO konservatif
✔ Balance sheet sihat
✔ Bukan “story IPO”, tetapi numbers-driven
🎯 Strategi Pelaburan
- Short-term: Potensi listing gain ✔
- Mid–Long term: Sangat sesuai (compounder potential)
⛔ Risiko utama
- Kegagalan mengekalkan order book
- Over-dependence projek berskala besar




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